More from The Dotabuff Blog
14 commentaires
JungleNaut

    I fucked up day 1 so I need a hail mary to catch up to my mates who are 100/200 points ahead, lets go OG only!!

    Arc

      Since i had a terrible saksa/notail card, does using whitemon with miposhka worth the risk or just go all in on the OG card?

      JungleNaut

        Doesn't matter sir, I get bronze cards that score better than golds, hero picks are more important then card rarity, they are nice to have but only boost a little bit

        GAMA.트와이스

          aside from notail and miposhka.. how about the other supports from vici, t1 and vp? are they any good?

          Altaire

            No because they only play 1 series. You diversify between OG-Spirit because at least 2-3 of your card will guaranteed got points from 2 series (4 games worth)

            Edit: to further elaborate: your best bet is either full OG, full spirit, or mixing OG-Spirit

            Notail and Ceb is "kicked" because while you expect OG to win, their average points is low enough that the loss from them is manageable, while ensuring you at least to get something from yatoro miposhka in case of spirit upset

            Ce commentaire a été édité
            GAMA.트와이스

              @altaire thanks for the info

              ironstove

                I'm going all OG.

                Based on my estimates, if Spirit loses to OG, Yatoro from spirit is going to underperform on his fantasy points, so it's double loss because you picked the losing team, don't get double series, and the person you picked will have points below their average, so underperforming yatoro for 2 games, versus normal ceb for 4 games... Potentially more games.

                If OG/VP go to BO3, then ceb will have 5 games on his belt. Even with an average of 10 points per game, Yatoro would have to net 25 points per game as core vs OG to match Ceb, the likelihood of that seems so low, and I think OG losing to spirit is an upset, so if anything, I consider going all in OG as the 'safer' play versus mixing and matching with spirit/OG. Considering that both teams cores are playing VS the other, when 1 core does well, that usually translates to the core on the other team doing poorly relative to their averages.

                Looking at the most recent average of D2 Main event for OG, notail and ceb are posting up decent numbers compared to spirit players.

                OG is a much stronger team than Spirit, so it's a no brainer to go fulll OG.

                I agree, the safest play is to mix and match between OG/Spirit, but due to a bug with fantasy, I lost my mid and cores on D2 of group stages because I dusted my cards while they were locked in, so I could not replace them. I'm about 400 points behind 1st place amongst my friends, and I have a gold notail card, all the more reason to go all-in on my strategy.

                The following day, I predict LGD will knock out secret, so I have all of my roster set to secret, and last day is mix of LGD/Secret as I think the final will be between those 2 teams. Hope for the best!

                Ce commentaire a été édité
                I am Groot

                  @Altaire can u pls explain it in a more simple way that why we prefer using OG vs TS cards?

                  Ce commentaire a été édité
                  add me on fb shon anabeza

                    3peat my ass. Had put OG cards coz i trust them but maaan, what a disapointment.

                    bs

                      well i guess that having a safeguard was not bad of an idea
                      i didnt put miposhka in but i think that having yatoro might boost me up cause people most likely bet heavily on og

                      ASH Plays

                        and og....... the bed

                        bs

                          @I am Groot I'm not Altaire, but OG were generally expected to win, so they were favored, simple as that. But if anyone were confident spirit were to win they should've gone either for 3 spirit 2 og if unsure, 3 spirit and 2 top scorers like nightfall whitemon being extra safe, or full yolo 5 TS which I personally wouldn't recommend but that's what yolo is

                          I went yatoro whitemon, since I didnt want to all-in on either teams weak scoring supports of potential 2-series, and instead went with someone whos way more likely to be secure. not losing too much if ts lost and, while expecting OG to win, just in case they shit the bet (as they did) I would gain advantage over everyone going either either full OG or extra safe.

                          Couldve gone for Miposhka over Saksa since he scores pretty meh but that was too safe even for me lol.

                          Ce commentaire a été édité
                          I am Groot

                            ^thanks
                            saksa was awful today

                            Ce commentaire a été édité
                            Antani

                              Remember you don't get 3 game out of a bo3 even if it goes the distance. You get the best 2.

                              Dotabuff Plus has a new feature: Hero Mastery! See how your performance on each hero stacks up against the competition. Subscribe to Dotabuff Plus now at a limited-time holiday price!